Morning Briefing

Yardeni Research’s flagship offering.

A daily deep dive into the market news, movement, and indicators.

Inflation: The Ugly,The Good & The Bad

Executive Summary: As the war in the Middle East escalates, it could send the oil price flying toward $100 per barrel and wipe out our expectations of continued moderation in US inflation (notwithstanding March’s anomalous CPI). … Barring that

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Onshoring, Financials & Magnetic Levitation

Executive Summary: Federal incentives coaxing manufacturers to produce in the USA are hitting their mark. Willing takers may see up to 15% of their factory construction costs covered by Uncle Sam. Some states are sweetening the deal further. Jackie

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The Seasons, They Go Round & Round

Executive Summary: The Q1 reporting season should be a good one, with plenty of S&P 500 companies exceeding analysts’ expectations, Joe reports. His analysis of patterns in estimate revisions as reporting seasons approach shows the stage is set for

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The most concise analysis of the key variables driving the global economy and financial markets.

Short-form takes on current market events.

The Economic Week Ahead: April 15 – 19

Following Iran’s attack on Israel Saturday, geopolitics should dominate this week’s stock market action. The Q1 earnings reporting season will also merit investors’ attention. In addition, Fed officials are likely to chatter about whether any rate cuts are likely this year

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The Spreading War In The Middle East

Ever since Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, we’ve warned that the latest war in the Middle East between these arch enemies could be protracted and spread to the rest of the region. On October 10, we wrote:

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PPI Not As Hot As CPI

Today’s PPI report threw some cold water on yesterday’s hotter-than-expected CPI. Our opinion is that the Fed won’t be lowering interest rates this year because the economy and labor market will remain strong. Yesterday’s CPI confirmed our conclusion based

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