Greetings from Greece. My colleagues, Elias and Toby, have been writing the QTs this week while my wife and I are vacationing in Crete and Santorini. The weather, food, and people are great. In Crete, we visited the ruins of the Palace at Knossos. It was the ceremonial and political center of the Minoan civilization and culture that thrived during the Bronze Age. We learned that for fun, Minoans enjoyed bull jumping. In Greek mythology, Zeus was born in Crete. In addition, the Minotaur, who was half human and half bull, was confined by King Minos of Crete to dwell in the Labyrinth, designed by the architect Daedalus and his son Icarus. Icarus died by flying too close to the sun, which melted his wax wings.
(1) Markets. Today’s bull market in stocks has raised concerns that investors are flying too close to the sun and are in for a meltdown like Icarus’. We try not to be bullheaded, but we think that the earnings-led bull market will continue at least through the end of the decade. We think that June’s Swoon so far is more likely to be a rotation than a correction (chart). The S&P 500 bounced off its 50-day moving average today on news that President Donald Trump decided to postpone a planned attack on Iran. He subsequently said that a deal to end the war is imminent. Iran has yet to confirm this.
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