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Our call to Go Global rather than Stay Home has paid off so far this year, despite the latest war in the Middle East, which boosted Stay Home, especially in March. However, Go Global was mostly driven by the AI trade in South Korea and Taiwan.
The Emerging Markets MSCI ETF (EEM) is up 25.4% ytd against 10.9% for the S&P 500. Moreover, we recommended staying out of China. The EM ex-China ETF (EMXC) is up 39.0% ytd. Europe, Japan, and many EMs that are net petroleum importers should outperform when the Strait of Hormuz reopens, at least on a short-term basis.
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