Even though Q1 earnings were fabulous, most economists, industry analysts, and corporate managements have low hopes that Trump’s Tariff Turmoil won’t dunk the US economy into a recession this year. Not us: We’re counting on the economy’s resilience. Today, Dr Ed discusses why the widely expected recession, like others in recent years, will be a no-show. Hard-to-ignore reasons include record-high forward earnings, strong economic indicators, and a forward P/E that hasn’t plunged as happens when a recession is imminent. Stock investors seem to be in our camp. Moreover, Trump’s tariff overreach is bound to be tempered by the courts and mid-term election realities if nothing else. … Also: Dr Ed reviews “How To Make Millions Before Grandma Dies” (++).
End of free preview
Ed's complete analysis, every chart linked, and the archive back to 2009.
Individual investor? Ed's QuickTakes are available for personal use at yardeniquicktakes.com →