Testing The Resilience Of The US Economy

We continue to bet on the resilience of the American economy. Yes, the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model lowered its Q1 GDP forecast significantly on Friday. The volatile model swung in response to January’s surge in imported goods ahead of Trump’s tariffs. In addition, consumer spending was depressed by a colder-than-usual January, but consumer spending and the model are bound to rebound in February. Eric explains why we believe pessimism about the economic outlook is unwarranted. … Also: The uncertainty introduced by Trump 2.0’s flurry of aggressive actions has lured bears out of their caves. Eric provides counterarguments to their most common growlings. ... And: Dr Ed pans “Zero Day” (-).