Global Smorgasbord

Check out the accompanying pdf and chart collection. Executive Summary: While the economies of China and the Eurozone countries have been lethargic, with a contracting M-PMI in China and declining industrial sentiment in the EU, the US economy has been anything but. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model shows Q3 GDP growth tracking at 3.9%. We’re increasingly confident about our no-landing/rolling-recovery outlook over the next 18 months, to which we ascribe 85% subjective odds. … Also: S&P 500 forward earnings continues to recover. … And Joe reports reassuring takeaways from recently released July data on analysts’ estimate revisions for earnings and revenues.