Check out the accompanying pdf and chart collection. Executive Summary: Can the Fed pull it off? Can it surgically subdue inflation without inflicting much collateral damage on the US economy? The now unanimously hawkish FOMC intends to try. Their current game plan seems to anticipate five increases of 50bps each, possibly at the next five FOMC meetings. … Meanwhile, we are on the lookout for signs of peaks in the latest inflation indicators; used car and truck prices are the first. … Rent and wages, on the other hand, are spinning upward along with prices in a mutually reinforcing spiral—calling into question the Fed’s optimism. … Also: A look at the causation loop between inflation and fiscal policy. ... Movie review: “Super Pumped: The Battle for Uber” (+ + +).
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