(1) Having too much inventory during a recession is a problem. So is not having enough during a recovery. (2) Companies responded rapidly to pandemic by slashing orders and production. (3) Inventory liquidation during H1 set stage for rebound during H2. (4) Pent-up saving and demand during lockdown recession triggered V-shaped recovery as restrictions were lifted. (5) Retail sales lead bungee rebound in business sales. (6) Inventories can be a big swing factor for real GDP. (7) Good for transportation. (8) Something is really not right with jobless claims data.
End of free preview
Ed's complete analysis, every chart linked, and the archive back to 2009.
Individual investor? Ed's QuickTakes are available for personal use at yardeniquicktakes.com →